Ag Center Cattle Market Report & Analysis

<div class=\"default-font-wrapper\" style=\"line-height: 1;font-size: 12pt; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif;\"><p id=\"isPasted\" style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px 0px 1rem; color: var(--wp--preset--color--vivid-cyan-blue) !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 1.6; font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><strong style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; font-weight: bold;\">December 24, 202</strong><strong>4</strong></p><br><p id=\"isPasted\" style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px 0px 1rem; color: var(--wp--preset--color--vivid-cyan-blue) !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 1.6; font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><strong style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; font-weight: bold;\">THE MARKETS</strong></p><p style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px 0px 1rem; font-size: 19px; line-height: 1.6; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\">Christmas week is a little different with Christmas falling mid week. Some feedyards have elected to focus on keeping feed in front of the cattle instead of marketing cattle while most will spent limited time with cattle sales. Show lists were flat despite the small sales last week. The slaughter volume this week will be especially slow and next week somewhat slow but larger than this week. Fed supplies are tight and packers are short bought requiring some activity this week.</p><p style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px 0px 1rem; font-size: 19px; line-height: 1.6; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\">A very slow trade and small volume of cattle traded this past week at steady to firm prices of $1-2 higher. Live cattle sold mostly at $195 in the north and $191-$192 in the south with volumes nearly too small to measure. A few cattle sold at $196-$197 in the north. Dressed prices ranged from $305 to $308.</p><p style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px 0px 1rem; font-size: 19px; line-height: 1.6; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\">Processors slaughtered 617,000 cattle this past week up 8,000 from the previous week. This week&rsquo;s slaughter was only 4,000 under last year. The fed cattle portion of the weekly slaughter continues to make a larger percentage of the total slaughter than prior years with cow slaughter of both dairy and beef cows in decline.</p><h2 style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-weight: bold; margin: 0px 0px 1rem; color: var(--wp--preset--color--vivid-cyan-blue) !important; font-size: 27px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\">COF December 1</h2><pre style=\"box-sizing: border-box; max-height: 1e+06px; overflow: auto; font-family: monospace, monospace; font-size: 19px;  color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\">CATTLE ON FEED.......December..100...99.9</pre><pre style=\"box-sizing: border-box; max-height: 1e+06px; overflow: auto; font-family: monospace, monospace; font-size: 19px;  color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\">PLACED DURING........November...96...95.9</pre><pre style=\"box-sizing: border-box; max-height: 1e+06px; overflow: auto; font-family: monospace, monospace; font-size: 19px;  color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\">MARKETED DURING......November...99..98.2<br style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px;\"></pre><p style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px 0px 1rem; font-size: 19px; line-height: 1.6; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><a href=\"https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/agriculture/livestock/live-cattle.quotes.html\" style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; background-color: transparent; color: rgb(23, 79, 134); text-decoration: underline; font-weight: 400;\">CATTLE FUTURES</a>. Futures prices were mixed in holiday quiet trading. Futures will close early today. Hedged feeders have enjoyed wide positive basis numbers on sales for December and now February.</p><p style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px 0px 1rem; font-size: 19px; line-height: 1.6; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\">B<a href=\"https://www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/ams_3492.pdf\" style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; background-color: transparent; color: rgb(23, 79, 134); text-decoration: underline; font-weight: 400;\">enchmarking</a>. On Tuesday of each week, USDA releases a weighted average price report for all cattle sold the previous week. The report summarizes the distributed price levels for each category of sale such as Negotiated/Formula/Forward Contracts. Beef producers are able to measure the marketing price for their cattle compared to the national averages.</p><p style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px 0px 1rem; font-size: 19px; line-height: 1.6; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\">The <a href=\"https://www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/ams_2700.pdf\" style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; background-color: transparent; color: rgb(23, 79, 134); text-decoration: underline; font-weight: 400;\">Comprehensive Fed Cattle Weekly Report</a> offers the most current information on the current status of fed cattle being harvested. The report is published each Tuesday and includes the previous week&rsquo;s change in carcass weights and quality grading. The latest report shows carcass weights at 917# up 3# from prior week and 11# heavier than last year. Carcass weights will be fundamental in determining total beef production. The combined steer and heifer weights can easily be influenced when the proportion of steers to heifers in the weekly slaughter changes. Quality grade was .3% lower at 81.80%. This was 3% over last year.</p><p style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px 0px 1rem; font-size: 19px; line-height: 1.6; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><a href=\"https://www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/nw_ls196.txt\" style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; background-color: transparent; color: rgb(23, 79, 134); text-decoration: underline; font-weight: 400;\">The Weekly Steer and Heifer Grading Report&nbsp;</a>is indicative of regional supplies of choice and prime cattle and often is determinative of regional differences is live price. The report is also reflective of the current status of fed cattle offerings in each area.</p><p style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px 0px 1rem; font-size: 19px; line-height: 1.6; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><a href=\"https://www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/ams_2480.pdf\" style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; background-color: transparent; color: rgb(23, 79, 134); text-decoration: underline; font-weight: 400;\">Forward Cattle Contracts</a>: &nbsp;Forward contracts will always bear some relationship to the corresponding futures month closest to the delivery month for the cattle. Basis levels will move up and down as processors want to add to forward contracts or not. The driver in forward purchases of cattle will always be forward sales of beef. Packers will always be willing to take a price risk off the producer&rsquo;s plate in return for an extra margin.&nbsp;</p><p style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px 0px 1rem; font-size: 19px; line-height: 1.6; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\">Formula and Negotiated Grids.&nbsp;<a href=\"https://www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/ams_3492.pdf\" style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; background-color: transparent; color: rgb(23, 79, 134); text-decoration: underline; font-weight: 400;\">The Price and Distribution Report&nbsp;</a>delineates the various selling methods and net results. The&nbsp;<a href=\"https://mymarketnews.ams.usda.gov/Cattle_Contract_Library\" style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; background-color: transparent; color: rgb(23, 79, 134); text-decoration: underline; font-weight: 400;\">Cattle Contracts Report</a> details the percent of contracts by volume of cattle and by number of contracts for selling cattle. Formula selling that was once the largest marketing method and still is, but is losing ground to negotiated grids where the premiums and discounts are set but the base price is negotiated.</p><div style=\"margin-bottom: 1.75em; gap: 2em; box-sizing: border-box; max-height: 1e+06px; display: flex; align-items: center; flex-wrap: nowrap; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-size: 19px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><div style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; flex-grow: 0; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px; flex-basis: 50%;\"><iframe src=\"https://embeds.agcenter.com/cattlereportchart/choice_cutout\" style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 75vh; width: 551.007px; min-height: 55px; height: 55px; border: none;\"></iframe></div><div style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; flex-grow: 0; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px; flex-basis: 50%;\"><iframe src=\"https://embeds.agcenter.com/cattlereportchart/select_cutout\" style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 75vh; width: 551.007px; min-height: 55px; height: 55px; border: none;\"></iframe></div></div><p style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px 0px 1rem; font-size: 19px; line-height: 1.6; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><a href=\"https://www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/lswbfrtl.pdf\" style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; background-color: transparent; color: rgb(23, 79, 134); text-decoration: underline; font-weight: 400;\">Beef Feature Activity Index.</a></p><p style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px 0px 1rem; font-size: 19px; line-height: 1.6; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\">The attention of the market will turn to the middle meats as the holiday season approaches. Beef features will be highlighted by the ribs that will be popular for holiday fare.</p><p style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px 0px 1rem; font-size: 19px; line-height: 1.6; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><a href=\"https://www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/lsddcbs.pdf\" style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; background-color: transparent; color: rgb(23, 79, 134); text-decoration: underline; font-weight: 400;\">The Cutout</a>. The cutout is mixed to open a quiet week of trading. Holiday demand was good but retailers are now purchasing for a post holiday period when there will be less interest in the middle meats.</p><p style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px 0px 1rem; font-size: 19px; line-height: 1.6; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><strong style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; font-weight: bold;\">Replacement markets</strong></p><p style=\"box-sizing: inherit; max-height: 1e+06px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px 0px 1rem; font-size: 19px; line-height: 1.6; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Oswald, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\">The replacement markets will enter a quiet period for the next two weeks. Markets are closing on a high note with record prices for a dwindling supply of cattle. New grazing opportunities and improvements in the cash prices for fed cattle have help propel the replacement markets higher. The jump in calf prices has